FMCG Sector Analysis K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training - 22.02.2025
FMCG Sector Analysis K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training - 22.02.2025
FMCG Sector Analysis K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training - 22.02.2025
FMCG Sector – 22.02.2025
By K Karthik Raja
Key Factors Affecting & Reasons:
- Rural demand recovery slow; inflation pressures remain.
- Rising raw material costs impacting margins.
- Festive season demand and price hikes provide some relief.
- Government policies on GST and subsidies in focus.
Key Watch:
- Inflation data, rural consumption trends.
- Crude oil prices impacting packaging costs.
- Q4 earnings and volume growth metrics.
Volume Analysis:
- High volumes on declines signal institutional selling pressure.
- Accumulation possible near strong support zones.
Chart Analysis & Observations:
- Trading below 50, 150, 200 DMAs signals bearish trend.
- Resistance: 55670 (50 DMA), 59408 (150 DMA), 58759 (200 DMA).
- Support: 51800 (recent low); break may lead to 50800.
- RSI at 24.33 indicates oversold conditions.
- CCI at -217.85 shows deep weakness.
- MACD bearish crossover with widening gap reflects continued pressure.
Stocks to Watch:
- Positive on dips: HUL, ITC, Dabur.
- Avoid mid-cap FMCG until signs of reversal appear.
Market Insights:
Short-term view (1-2 weeks): Weakness persists; possible bounce if oversold indicators reverse.
Long-term view (3-6 months): Bullish above 59400; below 50800, deeper correction likely.
Disclaimer: Informational purposes only, not financial advice. Do your own research.
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